Iran to Negotiate with Europeans, Russia and China About Remaining in Nuclear Deal
Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said Tuesday that his government remains committed to a nuclear deal with world powers, despite a decision by the United States to withdraw from the accord, but is also ready to step up its uranium enrichment.
Pres. Rouhani, who spoke following President Donald Trump’s speech announcing the U.S. withdrawal, said he has directed Iranian diplomats to negotiate with the deal’s remaining signatories, including European countries, Russia and China.
But he also warned that Iran would resume enriching uranium at higher levels if the benefits of remaining a part of the pact were unclear.
“If in the short-term, we conclude that we can achieve what we want” from the nuclear deal, the agreement will survive, Pres. Rouhani said in a broadcast address.
If not, he continued, “I have asked [Iran’s] Atomic Energy Organization to prepare the necessary orders to start unlimited enrichment,” which had been curtailed as part of the deal.
Pres. Trump, a longtime critic of the 2015 agreement, announced his decision on the deal from the White House, abandoning the landmark accord that was signed under President Barack Obama.
“The United States will withdraw from the Iran nuclear deal,” Pres. Trump said in a speech. He called it “a horrible, one-sided deal that should have never, ever been made,” and he asserted that Iran harbors ambitions to build nuclear weapons.
Pres. Trump said he would begin reinstating “powerful” U.S. nuclear-related sanctions against Iran. But he offered no specifics on the sanctions to be re-imposed.
The decision could trigger renewed U.S. sanctions on Iran’s oil sales and Central Bank, potentially disrupting Iran’s global financial transactions and putting further pressure on its already volatile economy. It also could put European allies in a bind over whether to continue the economic dealmaking they launched with Iran since the accord was implemented in early 2016. The allies have stood firmly behind the accord, which was negotiated between Iran and six world powers: the United States, Russia, China, Britain, France and Germany.
The allies could also suffer penalties under renewed U.S. sanctions, removing incentives to continue to invest in Iran.
In his speech, Pres. Trump also accused Iran of destabilizing the Middle East through its support of terrorist groups such as Lebanon’s Hezbollah, and he charged that Tehran seeks to build “nuclear-capable” ballistic missiles.
“If I allowed this deal to stand, there would soon be a nuclear arms race in the Middle East,” Pres. Trump asserted. “We cannot prevent an Iranian nuclear bomb under the decaying and rotten structure of the current agreement,” he added. “The Iran deal is defective at its core.”
As part of the nuclear deal, Iran pledged never to “seek, develop or acquire any nuclear weapons.” Iran’s supreme religious and political leader has declared nuclear weapons to be un-Islamic, saying that its nuclear program is aimed solely at producing energy and conducting medical research.
Iranian leaders said Tuesday that the country would stand united in the face of any new sanctions or threats from the United States.
Iran “could face some problems” if Pres. Trump restores sanctions, Pres. Rouhani said at a petroleum conference in the capital, Tehran, before Pres. Trump announced his decision. “But we will move on.”
“If we are under sanctions or not, we should stand on our feet,” the Reuters news agency quoted him as saying.
Pres. Rouhani’s first vice president, Eshaq Jahangiri, said the government has “a plan for managing the country under any circumstances.”
In remarks reported by Iran’s Tasnim News Agency, Jahangiri, a popular reformist, said it would be “naive” to enter into negotiations with the United States again.
The comments underscored a growing debate among political factions in Iran over what to do after the U.S. withdrawal. Some politicians have urged the government to continue to work with Europe to salvage the accord, which lifted key international sanctions in exchange for curbs on Iran’s nuclear program.
“If the Europeans are willing to give us sufficient guarantees, it makes sense for us to stay in the deal,” the deputy speaker of Iran’s parliament, Ali Motahari, said in remarks carried by the Iranian Students’ News Agency.
Motahari said Iran should wait several months to see whether Europe plans to resist U.S. pressure to disengage from the Iranian economy, where European companies have invested in sectors ranging from auto manufacturing to oil exploration and tourism.
If Europe succeeds, “this is a victory for Iran, because it will have created a gap between the United States and Europe,” he said.
But others have been less forgiving, urging Iran’s leaders to immediately withdraw and restart suspended elements of the country’s nuclear program if the United States left the deal. Fliers circulating online called for a rally in Iran’s northeastern city of Mashhad to “set the JCPOA on fire.” The nuclear deal is also known as the JCPOA, or Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
The Iranian parliament’s Nuclear Committee published three actions that the government could take if Pres. Trump leaves the deal, including installing more centrifuges and enriching uranium beyond the levels allowed under the accord. Enriched uranium can be used as fuel for nuclear power plants or – if enriched at much higher levels – as fissile material for nuclear weapons.
If pres. Trump confronts Iran, “we will not remain passive,” the head of the National Security Council, Ali Shamkhani, said Tuesday in an interview with the Hamshahri newspaper.
He said Europe made a mistake when its leaders appeased Pres. Trump by attempting to extract further concessions from Iran, including a potential halt to its ballistic missile program. The nuclear deal was the result of painstaking negotiations over two years between the Rouhani administration and the world powers, including the Obama administration.
While Iran accepted severe limits to its nuclear program, including inspections, critics said the deal failed to address other problematic aspects of Iranian policy, including its missile development and support for terrorist groups in Iraq and Syria.
“The Islamic Republic will stand firmly against this threat,” Shamkhani said of the Trump administration’s stance.
Even as Iranian leaders vowed to weather the storm, Iran’s economy was already feeling the strain. Iran’s Central Bank governor, Valiollah Seif, downplayed any potential shock to Iranian markets, which have been roiled by high inflation and a collapsing currency.
“We are prepared for all scenarios,” Seif said on state TV. “If America pulls out of the deal, our economy will not be impacted.”
But the Iranian rial was trading Tuesday at near record lows against the dollar, as Iranians looked to buy hard currency ahead of Pres. Trump’s announcement, economists said.
According to Pratibha Thaker, an Iran expert at the Economist Intelligence Unit, a risk analysis group, pres. Trump’s withdrawal from the pact would accelerate regional insecurity, cause a dip in global oil supplies and plunge the Iranian economy into recession.
“Anxiety, stress . . . [these are] people’s feelings just hours before Mr. Trump’s extraordinary decision,” an Iranian journalist, Amine Sherifkan, posted on Twitter.
Worsening economic woes could spell trouble for Pres. Rouhani, a moderate cleric who championed the nuclear deal as a way to jump-start Iran’s economy and end the country’s isolation.
Pres. Rouhani staked much of his political credibility on the nuclear deal with world powers. But even as oil exports picked up in the wake of the agreement, ordinary Iranians have said they felt few tangible benefits from the accord.
Widespread economic unrest,and currency fluctuations have all weakened the president, analysts said. A collapse of the nuclear pact could weaken Pres. Rouhani further, giving room for hard-line opponents of the accord to exert more influence.
“Rouhani is already under huge pressure,” said Saeid Hasanzadeh, an Iranian analyst based in Istanbul.
He said that Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who wields ultimate religious and political authority in Iran, has distanced himself enough from the nuclear deal that its failure would be blamed on Pres. Rouhani.
The supreme leader “did not take direct responsibility for the deal,” Hasanzadeh said. “So the responsibility falls entirely on Rouhani’s shoulders.”
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