Factory Output Falls for Third Straight Month in February

Output at U.S. factories fell for a third straight month in February, driven by a big drop in production at auto plants.

The Federal Reserve said Monday that manufacturing output fell 0.2 percent in February, following a decline of 0.3 percent in January. Overall industrial production edged up a slight 0.1 percent in February, as unusually cold weather in many parts of the country led to a surge at utilities.

The weakness at factories is attributed in part to a stronger dollar, which makes U.S. exports more expensive on overseas markets, and supply disruptions from the labor dispute at West Coast ports.

Analysts, however, aren’t too concerned. They say rising consumer spending will likely offset the recent lackluster showing in manufacturing. Solid job gains and lower gasoline prices should give households more to spend on other items.

“We expect that the strong domestic economy will ensure that manufacturing output continues to grow at a reasonable pace despite the strong dollar,” said Paul Dales, senior economist at Capital Economics.

The February factory weakness was led by a 3 percent plunge in production of motor vehicles and parts, the third straight decline in this category. Production of machinery and primary metals such as steel and appliances also fell.

Manufacturing growth has slowed over the past six months. U.S. producers have had to contend with a rising dollar, which can make their goods more expensive in foreign markets. Production has also been hurt by supply disruptions from the West Coast labor dispute. The dispute was settled in the third week of February, but analysts said it could take months to work through a massive backlog of containers at the port.

The 7.3 percent surge in utility output reflected frigid temperatures on the East Coast and record snowfall levels in the Northeast.

Output in mining fell 2.5 percent in February. Oil prices have skidded by about half since last summer, which has led drilling companies to hold off on new wells and reduce oil and gas extraction.

The Institute for Supply Management, a trade group for purchasing managers, reported that its index of manufacturing activity slipped to 52.9 in February, marking the fourth straight drop and the lowest reading since January 2014. The ISM index showed that orders, hiring and production all slowed last month.

Growth slowed to a rate of 2.2 percent in the fourth quarter, and many analysts believe the pace will be similar in the January-March quarter.

This article appeared in print in the March 17th, 2015 edition of Hamodia.