Poll Gives Ten Seats for Religious Zionism, Yamina Barely Passing

View of the Knesset. (Olivier Fitoussi/Flash90)

A new survey by Panels Politics, conducted for Maariv’s weekend paper, showed that the Yamina Party, now led by Interior Minister Ayelet Shaked, would win four Knesset seats in the upcoming elections, barely passing the electoral threshold.

However, if the party is willing to sit in a government led by Likud leader MK Binyamin Netanyahu, it would bring the rightwing bloc to 63 seats, forming a steady coalition.

The poll showed that if elections were to take place today, the Likud party would win 34 seats, with interim Prime Minister Yair Lapid’s Yesh Atid coming in second with 22 seats.

The Religious Zionist party, led by MKs Betzalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir, would be the Knesset’s third-largest party, with 10 seats. Blue and White, led by Defense Minister Benny Gantz, would win nine seats.

Shas would win eight seats, while United Torah Judaism would win seven. The Joint Arab List and Labor would win six seats each. Gideon Sa’ar’s New Hope Party and Finance Minister Avigdor Liberman’s Yisrael Beytenu would each win five seats. At the bottom of the list is Yamina, with four Knesset seats, and the United Arab List (Ra’am), which also wins four.

Meretz would not pass the electoral threshold, gaining just 2.2% of the votes.

Divided into blocs, the right-religious bloc would win 59 Knesset seats, while the current coalition members would win 55, and Yamina with 4 seats. The remaining six seats belong to the Joint Arab List, which traditionally does not join any coalition.

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