The coalition’s flagship party Yamina would drop nearly out of sight if elections were held now, from 7 seats in the Knesset currently to 4, barely enough to clear the 3.4% electoral threshold that would enable it to maintain a parliamentary presence.
According to the poll, conducted by Direct Polls and released by Channel 14 Sunday evening, Likud would rise from 30 to 35 seats, staying on top; Yesh Atid would go up from 17 to 19; Blue and White would keep its 8 seats; Labor was seen getting 7 and Meretz 4.
Yisrael Beytenu would retained its 7; Religious Zionism would add one to 7; Joint Arab List 7, Ra’am would increase from 4 to 6.
The chareidi parties held steady: Shas with 9, United Torah Judaism at 7.
The New Hope party, which won 6 seats in the March elections, would miss the threshold and not return to the Knesset.
The results would still not be decisive in terms of forming a government. The pro-Netanyahu bloc would have 58 seats; the coalition would have only 55, with the Joint List staying out.