President Donald Trump marveled at a rally this week about how important Supreme Court nominations are to voters.
But Senate Republicans are with the voters on that. They’re hoping the battle over replacing Ruth Bader Ginsburg will help them keep their Senate majority as well as Trump’s job in the White House.
Beyond the Nov. 3 elections, some feel the generational goal of a solidly conservative court is worth the potential blowback.
“Most of us came to the Senate, ran for the Senate, in a lot of ways for big moments like this — for an opportunity to fill seats on the Supreme Court,” said Sen. John Thune, R-S.D., the GOP whip who is not up for reelection this year.
And whatever their personal views of Trump and his presidency, Republicans also see a political payoff in sticking with him and plunging ahead to confirm his pick to fill the court vacancy before the election.
By Wednesday, as mourners gathered to view Ginsburg’s casket on the court’s iconic steps, objections from Democrats that the presidential winner should name the nominee had slipped by GOP senators. They were preparing for confirmation hearings as soon as Oct. 12, with a possible full Senate vote Oct. 29. Trump is to announce his choice Saturday.
“The process is going to go very quickly,” Trump said at the White House.
The president suggested doing away with confirmation hearings, and said later he wants the new justice confirmed before the election. “It’s better,” he said about the timing.
Democrats, led by presidential nominee Joe Biden, argue Republicans are stalling a fresh round of COVID-19 relief — as the nation reaches the grim milestone of 200,000 deaths from the coronavirus — but rushing the court nomination ahead of the election. They remind that Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell led Republicans in refusing to consider a nominee of President Barack Obama nominee in February 2016, long before that year’s election. No Supreme Court nominee in U.S. history has been confirmed by the Senate so close to balloting.
But Republicans are eagerly running into the election year fight, sensing a reward greater than the risk.
A third Trump justice is certain to tip the court rightward, likely to revisit landmark decisions on health care, gun rights and other issues. A liberal icon, Ginsburg would be replaced by a justice more in line with Trump’s earlier nominees, Neil Gorsuch and Brett Kavanaugh. Even without fresh polling this week, almost all Republicans backed McConnell’s push for a quick vote.
“It’s a really exciting time,” said Carrie Severino, president of the conservative advocacy group Judicial Crisis Network. “This is a new era.”
The top contender for Trump’s nomination is Amy Coney Barrett, a judge of the 7th U.S. Circuit Court of Appeals in the Midwest. The president had suggested he might meet Friday with Judge Barbara Lagoa in battleground Florida, but on Wednesday he said they didn’t have a meeting planned.
As early presidential voting is underway in several states, only two Republican senators, Lisa Murkowski of Alaska and Susan Collins of Maine, have objected to the speedy timetable.
There’s little the Democrats can do to block it. The Senate is controlled by Republicans, 53-47, with a simple majority needed for confirmation. Under Senate rules, Vice President Mike Pence can break a tie.
Biden won’t say whom he might pick, denying Trump and Republicans an opportunity to shift attention. “We should go to the American people, make the case why this is a gigantic mistake and abuse of power,” Biden said of the GOP effort before heading to a campaign event in North Carolina.
At a rally late Tuesday in Pittsburgh, Trump told supporters how surprised he was in 2016 over voter reaction to the Supreme Court. That February, just before a crucial presidential primary debate in South Carolina, the sudden death of conservative Justice Antonin Scalia sent shockwaves through Washington.
Republicans remember the moment well: Trump on the debate stage started naming possible replacements. It was a jaw-dropping instant for advocates who have been working to restructure the courts since the Reagan era. And all the more stunning from Trump, a newcomer to politics was now naming conservative judicial champions.
“I was like, wow, I didn’t see that coming,” said Severino.
Now, as Republicans strain to hold their slim majority in the Senate, they believe the court battle in the countdown weeks to the 2020 election will similarly bring wayward Trump voters back into the fold — or at least they’ll go down in defeat having secured the long-sought goal.
One by one, GOP senators facing tough reelections — Martha McSally in Arizona, Thom Tillis in North Carolina, Steve Daines in Montana and Joni Ernst in Iowa — all threw their support behind voting on Trump’s choice. Sen. Lindsey Graham, the chairman of the Judiciary Committee who faces his own tough race in South Carolina, estimated it will help him in win.
Even in Colorado, where the politics are more uncertain, Sen. Cory Gardner joined the push for a new justice — better to be seen as part of the movement, despite the political risks. Only the most independent senators — Murkowski and Collins, who faces her own reelection in Maine — declined.
“These sorts of fights bring Republicans together,” said Sen. Todd Young, R-Ind., the party’s Senate campaign chairman.
But Democrats are also fired up against what they see as Trump “stealing” another court seat, as Democratic leader Chuck Schumer puts it.
Several Democratic senators spoke well into the night from the chamber floor against voting now. It is one of the quickest confirmation efforts in recent times.