Obama’s Trial Balloons

Now, since I’ve written one book on the NSC and have another one due out in September, you might expect that I would have a strong opinion about one or the other of these names, the Classic Coke and New Coke of the foreign-policy acronym bureaucracy. But I don’t. Far too much time is spent by each administration [naming and renaming] the names for memos and committees and reworking their org chart — we hardly need to devote more to commenting on it.

Having said that, I do have a suggestion that the NSC may wish to consider using as its symbol … the weathervane.

Take the recent reports that the White House is deliberating as to whether or not they should kill an American citizen who is allegedly collaborating with bad guys in Pakistan. Which — behind closed doors — is, of course, just the kind of thing they should be doing, especially given the recent debate over the morality and legality of such strikes. Further, such internal discussions on their own do not, of course, suggest that the Obama administration is flailing, or that its top policymakers are most comfortable pointing in the direction the political wind is blowing. But the fact that they chose to leak this story — and given its distribution to top papers simultaneously, complete with off-the-record White House comments, it is absolutely clear that is what happened — is another matter.

It’s difficult not to conclude from this weird turn of events that the White House is not sure what it thinks and wants to test public reaction before it takes a decision, or — as has happened in the past — punts. That’s how the Syria debacle unfolded in August. A deliberate, public call to action led to a decision that led to second guessing, which led to leaks about the “very deliberate” process of second guessing, which led to the president punting the decision to Congress. And that, of course, led to the message being sent to the world that America had no clear idea what it wanted to do in that unfortunate, war-ravaged country.

Testing the waters isn’t a sin, but that this has become something approaching standard operating procedure — in instances when decisions were hard or might be controversial — is.

The administration says that it takes these decisions (whether these enemy combatants are threats to the United States) seriously, and that it won’t hesitate to act. Well, either this person is a threat to the United States or he isn’t. And this certainly seems like hesitating to act.

Further, if the White House is planning a secret mission to violate the sovereignty of another country and blast someone who happened to be colluding with terrorists there are some pretty good conventional, operational, and diplomatic reasons why such a thing should remain secret…

Leaders are supposed to have principles, standards and processes by which critical security decisions are developed that enable them to protect U.S. interests by keeping those decisions on the down low. Most Americans not only expect this, it’s one of the reasons they hired the leaders in the first place. The idea that each one is opened up to crude public polling and debate in the Washington echo chamber is grotesque, politically craven and undermines the likelihood our missions will be successful. It is not how leaders or professional security organizations behave. It is the way of the pol.

For these reasons, … as long as the NSC is using a weathervane to produce public policy decisions that should be its symbol … and a caution to all who think values, reason, or suitable standards of professional judgment are dependably our means for determining America’s security policies worldwide.

This article appeared in print on page 10 of the February 13th, 2014 edition of Hamodia.