French centrist Emmanuel Macron is set to come out on top in the first round of France’s presidential election on Sunday as far-right leader Marine Le Pen fell further behind him in an Elabe poll published on Friday.
However, neither is totally assured of a spot in the May 7 runoff round as both conservative François Fillon and hard-left candidate Jean-Luc Melenchon were seen narrowing Macron’s and Le Pen’s lead over them.
Provided Macron and Le Pen do make it to the second round, the former economy minister was projected to win with 65 percent against 35 percent for Le Pen, the survey for BFM TV and L’Express magazine showed.
It was conducted on Wednesday and Thursday before a shootout on Paris’ Champs Elysees avenue that left a police officer dead and which was claimed by the Islamic State terror group.
The poll found that Macron was set to win 24 percent of the vote in the first round and Le Pen would get 21.5 percent, with his score steady from a poll conducted three days earlier, while hers was down 1.5 percentage points.
Fillon, who has slowly clawed back some ground lost after being hit by a fake jobs scandal, saw his score in the first round rise half a percentage point to 20 percent.
Melenchon, who would hike taxes on the rich and spend 100 billion euros ($107 billion) of borrowed money on vast housebuilding and renewable energy projects, gained 1.5 points to 19.5 percent as he built further on momentum he has seen after strong performances in television debates.
If Melenchon makes it to the runoff, he is projected to beat both Le Pen and Fillon by a comfortable margin, although he is seen losing to Macron 41 percent to 59 percent.
The number of people surveyed who expected to definitely turn out for the first round rose to 71 percent, the highest so far during the campaign, although that is nonetheless low by historical standards.